Validity of prognostic models of critical COVID-19 is variable. A systematic review with external validation.

OBJECTIVES: To identify prognostic models which estimate the risk of critical COVID-19 in hospitalized patients and to assess their validation properties. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a systematic review in Medline (up to January 2021) of studies developing or updating a model that estimated the risk of critical COVID-19, defined as death, admission to intensive care unit, and/or use of mechanical ventilation during admission. Models were validated in two datasets with different backgrounds (HM [private Spanish hospital network], n = 1,753, and ICS [public Catalan health system], n = 1,104), by assessing discrimination (area under the curve [AUC]) and calibration (plots). RESULTS: We validated 18 prognostic models. Discrimination was good in nine of them (AUCs ≥ 80%) and higher in those predicting mortality (AUCs 65%-87%) than those predicting intensive care unit admission or a composite outcome (AUCs 53%-78%). Calibration was poor in all models providing outcome's probabilities and good in four models providing a point-based score. These four models used mortality as outcome and included age, oxygen saturation, and C-reactive protein among their predictors. CONCLUSION: The validity of models predicting critical COVID-19 by using only routinely collected predictors is variable. Four models showed good discrimination and calibration when externally validated and are recommended for their use.

COVID-19 in patients with pulmonary alveolar proteinosis: a European multicentre study.

Adult PAP patients experience similar #COVID19 rates to the general population, and high rates of hospitalisation and deaths, underscoring their vulnerability and the need for measures to prevent infection. The impact of iGM-CSF must be considered. https://bit.ly/3M0wKnZ.

Patient-reported outcomes measures (PROMs) and patient-reported experience measures (PREMs) of COVID-19 telerehabilitation: Prospective pilot program.

Telemedicine is proving to be a useful tool in the telemonitoring of respiratory patients and telerehabilitation programs. The use of telemedicine has been proposed by the main medical societies because of the limited resources and the healthcare workers infection risk in the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this pilot program is to evaluate the feasibility of COVID-19 telerehabilitation program from the hospital to the home with clinical, functional and patient satisfaction outcomes. Rehabilitation was initiated in the hospital by a physiotherapist and complemented by "Estoi" (a mobile application), which was continued at home with telemonitoring and messaging with the medical team. Patients' habitual use of smartphones was not queried for inclusion. Sixteen patients were consecutively enrolled, 47% women with a mean age of 63 years old. 50% of patients completed ≥15 rehabilitation sessions. In total, 88% of patients referred that the mobile application incentive them to do more physical therapy, and 63% would choose telerehabilitation instead of center-based rehabilitation for new rehabilitation programs. Patient satisfaction (0-10) for the mobile application was 8.4 and 8.9 for the telerehabilitation program. Beginning telerehabilitation in the hospital could increase the efficacy and efficiency of physical therapy, which is safe for patients and healthcare workers. Following at home, this telerehabilitation program seems to encourage and empower patients who have reported high satisfaction. Further randomized studies with larger numbers of patients and multicenter studies are required to evaluate these results.

Predictors and changes of physical activity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Different clinical predictors of physical activity (PA) have been described in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but studies are lacking evaluating the potential role of muscle strength and anxiety and depression symptoms in PA limitation. Moreover, little is known about the impact of changes in PA in the course of the disease. The aim of the present study was to investigate the relationship between baseline PA and a wide range of variables in IPF, to assess its longitudinal changes at 12 months and its impact on progression free-survival. METHODS: PA was assessed by accelerometer and physiological, clinical, psychological factors and health-related quality of life were evaluated in subjects with IPF at baseline and at 12 month follow-up. Predictors of PA were determined at baseline, evolution of PA parameters was described and the prognostic role of PA evolution was also established. RESULTS: Forty participants with IPF were included and 22 completed the follow-up. At baseline, subjects performed 5765 (3442) daily steps and spent 64 (44) minutes/day in moderate to vigorous PA. Multivariate regression models showed that at baseline, a lower six-minute walked distance, lower quadriceps strength (QMVC), and a higher depression score in the Hospital Anxiety and Depression scale were associated to lower daily step number. In addition, being in (Gender-Age-Physiology) GAP III stage, having a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and lower QMVC or maximum inspiratory pressure were factors associated with sedentary behaviour. Adjusted for age, gender and forced vital capacity (FVC) (%pred.) a lower progression-free survival was evidenced in those subjects that decreased PA compared to those that maintained, or even increased it, at 12 months [HR 12.1 (95% CI, 1.9-78.8); p = 0.009]. CONCLUSION: Among a wide range of variables, muscle strength and depression symptoms have a predominant role in PA in IPF patients. Daily PA behaviour and its evolution should be considered in IPF clinical assessment and as a potential complementary indicator of disease prognosis.

Outcomes of COVID-19 Patients Admitted to the Intermediate Respiratory Care Unit: Non-Invasive Respiratory Therapy in a Sequential Protocol.

The intermediate respiratory care units (IRCUs) have a pivotal role managing escalation and de-escalation between the general wards and the intensive care units (ICUs). Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, the early detection of patients that could improve on non-invasive respiratory therapies (NRTs) in IRCUs without invasive approaches is crucial to ensure proper medical management and optimize limiting ICU resources. The aim of this study was to assess factors associated with survival, ICU admission and intubation likelihood in COVID-19 patients admitted to IRCUs. Observational retrospective study in consecutive patients admitted to the IRCU of a tertiary hospital from March 2020 to April 2021. Inclusion criteria: hypoxemic respiratory failure (SpO2 ≤ 94% and/or respiratory rate ≥ 25 rpm with FiO2 > 50% supplementary oxygen) due to acute COVID-19 infection. Demographic, comorbidities, clinical and analytical data, and medical and NRT data were collected at IRCU admission. Multivariate logistic regression models assessed factors associated with survival, ICU admission, and intubation. From 679 patients, 79 patients (12%) had an order to not do intubation. From the remaining 600 (88%), 81% survived, 41% needed ICU admission and 37% required intubation. In the IRCU, 51% required non-invasive ventilation (NIV group) and 49% did not (non-NIV group). Older age and lack of corticosteroid treatment were associated with higher mortality and intubation risk in the scheme, which could be more beneficial in severe forms. Initial NIV does not always mean worse outcomes.

COVID-19 in patients with Pulmonary Alveolar Proteinosis A European multicenter study

Granulocyte-Macrophage Colony Stimulating Factor (GM-CSF) signaling is essential in both alveolar macrophages (AMs) differentiation and activation of lung immune cells [1]. Differentiated AMs are crucial in both the elimination of alveolar microbes and surfactant clearance. The disruption of the GM-CSF axis in alveolar macrophages leads to the development of pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (PAP) [1]. In the majority of patients this relates to the presence of autoantibodies against GM-CSF autoimmune (a)PAP but there are multiple other causes [1, 2, 3]. GM-CSF deficient animals may have impaired lung inflammatory response to commensal microbes and humans with PAP may occasionally develop opportunistic lung infections [4]. The mainstay of pharmacological treatment in aPAP is inhaled GM-CSF which is off-label but increasingly used worldwide [5, 6, 7, 8, 9].

Radio-Histological Correlation of Lung Features in Severe COVID-19 Through CT-Scan and Lung Ultrasound Evaluation.

Background: Patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can develop severe bilateral pneumonia leading to respiratory failure. Lung histological samples were scarce due to the high risk of contamination during autopsies. We aimed to correlate histological COVID-19 features with radiological findings through lung ultrasound (LU)-guided postmortem core needle biopsies (CNBs) and computerized tomography (CT) scans. Methodology: We performed an observational prospective study, including 30 consecutive patients with severe COVID-19. The thorax was divided into 12 explorations regions to correlate LU and CT-scan features. Histological findings were also related to radiological features through CNBs. Results: Mean age was 62.56 ± 13.27 years old, with 96.7% male patients. Postmortem LU-guided CNBs were performed in 13 patients. Thirty patients were evaluated with both thoracic LU and chest CT scan, representing a total of 279 thoracic regions explored. The most frequent LU finding was B2-lines (49.1%). The most CT-scan finding was ground-glass opacity (GGO, 29%). Pathological CT-scan findings were commonly observed when B2-lines or C-lines were identified through LU (positive predictive value, PPV, 87.1%). Twenty-five postmortem echo-guided histological samples were obtained from 12 patients. Histological samples showed diffuse alveolar damage (DAD) (75%) and chronic interstitial inflammation (25%). The observed DAD was heterogeneous, showing multiple evolving patterns of damage, including exudative (33.3%), fibrotic (33.3%), and organizing (8.3%) phases. In those patients with acute or exudative pattern, two lesions were distinguished: classic hyaline membrane; fibrin "plug" in alveolar space (acute fibrinous organizing pneumonia, AFOP). C-profile was described in 33.3% and presented histological signs of DAD and lung fibrosis. The predominant findings were collagen deposition (50%) and AFOP (50%). B2-lines were identified in 66.7%; the presence of hyaline membrane was the predominant finding (37.5%), then organizing pneumonia (12.5%) and fibrosis (37.5%). No A-lines or B1-lines were observed in these patients. Conclusion: LU B2-lines and C-profile are predominantly identified in patients with severe COVID-19 with respiratory worsening, which correspond to different CT patterns and histological findings of DAD and lung fibrosis.

Effects of Early Physical Therapy and Follow-Up in Acute Severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Observational Study.

Background: Rehabilitation in subjects with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia has been widely recommended. However, data regarding the starting time of rehabilitation, subjects and healthcare workers' safety, as well as rehabilitation program features are limited. We aimed to assess the safety and characterize the effect of early and non-early physiotherapy on severe COVID-19 pneumonia subjects. Methods: A retrospective cohort study, including a consecutive sample of surviving subjects admitted to an acute care hospital due to severe COVID-19 pneumonia from March 13th to May 15th of 2020, is made. Subjects were separated into three groups: non-physical therapy, early physiotherapy (onset <7 days of admission), and non-early physiotherapy. Subject and therapist safety and length of hospital stay were the main evaluated outcomes. Results: A total of 159 subjects were included (72% men; median age 62 years). Rehabilitation was performed on 108 subjects (32 early and 76 non-early physiotherapies). The length of hospital stay was 19 [interquartile range (IQR) 36.25] and 34 days (IQR 27.25) (p = 0.001) for early and non-early physiotherapy groups, respectively. No physiotherapist was infected and no subject adverse effect was identified. Multivariate analysis of subjects receiving physiotherapy during admission identified obesity [odds ratio (OR) 3.21; p-value 0.028], invasive mechanical ventilation (OR 6.25; p-value <0.001), and non-early physiotherapy (OR 3.54; p-value 0.017) as independent factors associated with a higher risk of prolonged hospital stay. Survivors' follow-up after hospital discharge at 8 weeks was completed by 54% of subjects. Conclusion: Rehabilitation in acute severe COVID-19 pneumonia is safe for subjects and healthcare workers and could reduce the length of hospitalization stay, especially in those that may start early.

Clinical Outcomes of Severe COVID-19 Patients Admitted to an Intermediate Respiratory Care Unit.

Introduction: Many severe COVID-19 patients require respiratory support and monitoring. An intermediate respiratory care unit (IMCU) may be a valuable element for optimizing patient care and limited health-care resources management. We aim to assess the clinical outcomes of severe COVID-19 patients admitted to an IMCU. Methods: Observational, retrospective study including patients admitted to the IMCU due to COVID-19 pneumonia during the months of March and April 2020. Patients were stratified based on their requirement of transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) and on survival status at the end of follow-up. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards method was used to assess risk factors associated with mortality. Results: A total of 253 patients were included. Of them, 68% were male and median age was 65 years (IQR 18 years). Ninety-two patients (36.4%) required ICU transfer. Patients transferred to the ICU had a higher mortality rate (44.6 vs. 24.2%; p < 0.001). Multivariable proportional hazards model showed that age ≥65 years (HR 4.14; 95%CI 2.31-7.42; p < 0.001); chronic respiratory conditions (HR 2.34; 95%CI 1.38-3.99; p = 0.002) and chronic kidney disease (HR 2.96; 95%CI 1.61-5.43; p < 0.001) were independently associated with mortality. High-dose systemic corticosteroids followed by progressive dose tapering showed a lower risk of death (HR 0.15; 95%CI 0.06-0.40; p < 0.001). Conclusions: IMCU may be a useful tool for the multidisciplinary management of severe COVID-19 patients requiring respiratory support and non-invasive monitoring, therefore reducing ICU burden. Older age and chronic respiratory or renal conditions are associated with worse clinical outcomes, while treatment with systemic corticosteroids may have a protective effect on mortality.

Lung Ultrasound Score to Predict Outcomes in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can develop severe bilateral pneumonia leading to respiratory failure. We aimed to study the potential role of lung ultrasound score (LUS) in subjects with COVID-19. METHODS: We conducted an observational, prospective pilot study, including consecutive subjects admitted to an intermediate care unit due to COVID-19 pneumonia. LUS is a 12-zone examination method for lung parenchyma assessment. LUS was performed with a portable convex transducer, scores from 0 to 36 points. Clinical and demographic data were collected at LUS evaluation. Survival analysis was performed using a composite outcome including ICU admission or death. Subjects were followed for 30 d from LUS assessment. RESULTS: Of 36 subjects included, 69.4% were male, and mean age was 60.19 ± 12.75 y. A cutoff LUS ≥ 24 points showed 100% sensitivity, 69.2% specificity, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85 for predicting worse prognosis. The composite outcome was present in 10 subjects (55.6%) with LUS ≥ 24 points, but not in the group with lower LUS scores (P < .001). Subjects with LUS ≥ 24 points had a higher risk of ICU admission or death (hazard ratio 9.97 [95% CI 2.75-36.14], P < .001). Significant correlations were observed between LUS and [Formula: see text], serum D-dimer, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, and lymphocyte count. CONCLUSIONS: LUS ≥ 24 points can help identify patients with COVID-19 who are likely to require ICU admission or to die during follow-up. LUS also correlates significantly with clinical and laboratory markers of COVID-19 severity.

Documento de Consenso de la Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica (SEPAR) para el seguimiento clínico post-COVID-19

RESUMEN La infección por SARS-CoV-2 puede favorecer el desarrollo de diversas secuelas respiratorias, sobre todo en los pacientes que han sufrido una neumonía grave por COVID-19. Dado el elevado número de pacientes que sufrieron esta infección en un corto periodo de tiempo, se están llevando a cabo numerosas visitas de control post-COVID-19 sin que se haya establecido un protocolo de seguimiento clínico que aconseje sobre las pruebas complementarias a realizar y la frecuencia de las mismas. Este documento de consenso realizado por profesionales de distintas áreas de la Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica (SEPAR), pretende ayudar al profesional clínico a la identificación de las posibles complicaciones respiratorias que pueden aparecen durante los meses posteriores al cuadro agudo de la enfermedad y a protocolizar su seguimiento y las pruebas complementarias a realizar. Se sugieren las exploraciones e intervenciones a realizar en diversos momentos de la evolución post-COVID-19, con unos objetivos concretos. Por un lado, garantizar que los pacientes reciban un seguimiento clínico oportuno, con un cronograma preestablecido teniendo en cuenta la gravedad de la enfermedad y la probabilidad de secuelas a largo plazo;por otro lado, evitar sobrecargas del sistema sanitario llevando a cabo exploraciones y/o consultas en muchos casos innecesarias;por último, definir criterios para derivar a aquellos pacientes con determinadas secuelas específicas establecidas (enfermedad pulmonar intersticial, enfermedad vascular pulmonar o bronquiectasias) a las unidades monográficas correspondientes. ABSTRACT SARS-CoV-2 infection can cause a range of respiratory sequelae, especially in patients who have had severe Covid-19 pneumonia. Given the high number of patients who have developed this infection over a short period of time, numerous post-Covid-19 follow-up visits are being carried out, but no clinical follow-up protocol has been established to advise on the complementary tests to be performed and the frequency of these procedures. This consensus document was drawn up by professionals from different areas of the Spanish Society of Pulmonology and Thoracic Surgery (SEPAR) in order to assist the clinician in identifying possible respiratory complications that may occur during the months following the acute disease, and to protocolize their follow-up and additional tests to be performed. It recommends examinations and interventions to be carried out at various stages in the post-Covid-19 period, and details the specific objectives of these procedures. Primarily, we aim to ensure that patients receive timely clinical follow-up, following a pre-established schedule that takes into account the severity of the disease and the likelihood of long-term sequelae. Another objective is to avoid overloading the health system by eschewing examinations and/or consultations that are, in many cases, unnecessary. Finally, we define criteria for referring patients with specific established sequelae (interstitial lung disease, pulmonary vascular disease, bronchiectasis) to the corresponding specialized units.

Outcome of Hospitalization for COVID-19 in Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease. An International Multicenter Study.

Rationale: The impact of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) has not been established.Objectives: To assess outcomes in patients with ILD hospitalized for COVID-19 versus those without ILD in a contemporaneous age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched population.Methods: An international multicenter audit of patients with a prior diagnosis of ILD admitted to the hospital with COVID-19 between March 1 and May 1, 2020, was undertaken and compared with patients without ILD, obtained from the ISARIC4C (International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium) cohort, admitted with COVID-19 over the same period. The primary outcome was survival. Secondary analysis distinguished idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis from non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis ILD and used lung function to determine the greatest risks of death.Measurements and Main Results: Data from 349 patients with ILD across Europe were included, of whom 161 were admitted to the hospital with laboratory or clinical evidence of COVID-19 and eligible for propensity score matching. Overall mortality was 49% (79/161) in patients with ILD with COVID-19. After matching, patients with ILD with COVID-19 had significantly poorer survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.60; confidence interval, 1.17-2.18; P = 0.003) than age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched controls without ILD. Patients with an FVC of <80% had an increased risk of death versus patients with FVC ≥80% (HR, 1.72; 1.05-2.83). Furthermore, obese patients with ILD had an elevated risk of death (HR, 2.27; 1.39-3.71).Conclusions: Patients with ILD are at increased risk of death from COVID-19, particularly those with poor lung function and obesity. Stringent precautions should be taken to avoid COVID-19 in patients with ILD.